Tuesday, October 13, 2026 · La Paz, BCS Water Power Weather Fuel ES EN
Breaking
Hurricane Simon stalls off Jalisco; Baja California Sur urged to track its path Simon becomes Category 4 far from Los Cabos; Rachel keeps warning north of Punta Eugenia Mano Amiga bridge in La Paz closed by health workers' blockade; here are the detours Five Los Cabos beaches under black flag as crews clear over 25 tons of water hyacinth Rachel to turn toward northern Baja California this weekend; no alerts for Baja California Sur Los Cabos keeps four temporary shelters and arroyo brigades open as Rachel's remnants bring rain Hurricane Simon stalls off Jalisco; Baja California Sur urged to track its path Simon becomes Category 4 far from Los Cabos; Rachel keeps warning north of Punta Eugenia Mano Amiga bridge in La Paz closed by health workers' blockade; here are the detours Five Los Cabos beaches under black flag as crews clear over 25 tons of water hyacinth Rachel to turn toward northern Baja California this weekend; no alerts for Baja California Sur Los Cabos keeps four temporary shelters and arroyo brigades open as Rachel's remnants bring rain
Home / Weather & alerts
⚠ Service alert
Weather & alerts

Hurricane Simon stalls off Jalisco; Baja California Sur urged to track its path

The Category 1 storm is barely moving 165 km west of Cabo Corrientes and could turn north late this week. Tropical Depression 21-E has also formed.

By Miguel Díaz Miró · Responsible editor ·
Forecast map of Hurricane Simon in the Mexican Pacific

Hurricane Simon, a Category 1 storm, was nearly stationary on Tuesday, October 13, about 165 kilometers (105 miles) west of Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco, and roughly 340 kilometers (210 miles) south-southwest of Mazatlán. According to the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), people in Baja California Sur should keep monitoring forecast updates, although no hurricane watch or warning is in effect for the peninsula at this time.

Location and strength

As of the 8 a.m. MST advisory, Simon had maximum sustained winds near 145 km/h (90 mph) with higher gusts and a minimum central pressure of 977 millibars. It was drifting west at about 3 km/h (2 mph) from 20.3°N, 107.3°W.

A hurricane watch covers the Islas Marías and the coast from north of Escuinapa to Bahía Tempehuaya, Sinaloa. A tropical storm watch runs from Cabo Corrientes to Escuinapa.

What Baja California Sur can expect

The NHC forecasts 25 to 50 millimeters (1 to 2 inches) of rain, with isolated totals near 75 millimeters (3 inches), over parts of Baja California Sur, Nayarit and Sinaloa through Friday, October 16. Swells from Simon will produce dangerous surf and rip currents along western Mexico.

The track is the big unknown. Forecasters expect Simon to make a small loop near its current position for 36 to 48 hours, then begin moving north between Thursday and Friday. For days 4 and 5, scenarios range from direct impacts on Baja California Sur to the storm staying south, or even entering the Gulf of California. The NHC itself calls that part of the forecast "very low confidence."

A second system forming

Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E formed on Tuesday off the coasts of Oaxaca and Guerrero, near 9.8°N, 96.5°W. It has winds near 55 km/h (35 mph), is moving northwest at 16 km/h (10 mph) and, according to the NHC, is expected to strengthen rapidly into a major hurricane within days.

What to do now

This is the third cyclone threat to the southern part of the state in a matter of weeks: the State Civil Protection Council suspended classes in Los Cabos because of Hurricane Rachel, and schools reopened on October 5. Given that track record, it makes sense to prepare now:

  • Check your emergency kit: water, non-perishable food, flashlight, batteries, medication and copies of documents in a waterproof bag.
  • Clear rooftops, yards and drains, and secure anything the wind could pick up.
  • Do not cross arroyos or flooded dips, even if the water looks shallow.
  • Follow only official notices from state and municipal Civil Protection, which announce temporary shelters if needed.

During high surf, Los Cabos Civil Protection has asked people to stay away from the shoreline and rocky areas, warning that current sea conditions can send waves suddenly into areas that seem safe. Report any emergency to 911.

Related